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Big callback! China stock market is two worlds apart.

Huijing Ye Tan finance

Text/Huijing

Wang Wu threw a philosophical question in the exchange group of the real competition yesterday. Why didn’t the cars collide when we were driving on the road?

People in the group were asked, and they were crazy about asking questions.

Wang Wu continued, because when we are driving on the road, we will stop when we see a red light, turn when we see a curve, and avoid when we see an oncoming car.

People in the group are even more confused. Art Wang Wu, what do you mean?

Wang Wu replied in the group,Why don’t we sometimes "stop", "turn" and "avoid" when doing business? Why is it so hard to do it?

On April 21st, Black Friday was staged in China stock market, and there was a 100-share limit.

Judging from the trend, the Shanghai Composite Index weakened from the opening price of 3,364 points, and unilaterally fell to the closing price of 3,301.26 points throughout the day, with a decline rate of 1.95%, close to 2%.

From the graphic point of view, a big yinxian line of the Shanghai Composite Index reversed the Zhongyang line on April 17, showing a sharp decline.

In this regard, some people may think that the stock market is about to start a wave.Adjustment of midline levelMaybe some people will think that this is a once-in-a-lifetime event.Call back and get on the busOpportunity.

Some people are bearish on the market outlook, and some people are bullish, so there will be differences and there will be transactions.

Personally, I don’t shy away from my own point of view, bearish on the growth track and look at the multi-value track.

March 28EvacuationIn this paper, it has been considered that the concept of ChatGPT with an increase of over 100% presents a largefoamAnd made countermeasures.

At the same time, I also think that the future market of the stock market is mainly in the value track.February 23 rdState-owned enterprises outperformed the national GDP growth rate.April 18thOnce again, the importance of the value track was expounded.

Figure: Net buying status of foreign capital Source: Straight flush

Why does the market have different views of bullish, bearish and volatile?

Because there are a thousand readers, there are a thousand Hamlets.

Everyone’s different growth environment and social experience will inevitably bringDifferent world views, mapped to the stock market, will produce different trading views.

Views are very important, but more important than trading views is to stick to your own ability circle.

Repeat the three stages of ChatGPT market to explain the logic of sticking to one’s ability circle in the structural market in the stock market.

The hazy stage of the market,Some people are optimistic, buying and holding artificial intelligence to make profits. At the same time, some people are not optimistic, and they also make profits by doing other things that they are optimistic about, such asChina Software, Taiji SharesDomestic software sector, etc.

The development stage of the market,Some people began to be optimistic, chasing high and holding artificial intelligence for the first time, and then quickly taking profits and making profits.

The fishtail stage of the market,People who were initially optimistic began to bearish and take profit positions.Profits are safe.

Fish tail market,There are also many funds for flips, such as the funds for buying domestic software in the early days. They are not eager to catch up with the market, but they have made a counter-pumping market after the plunge, that is, Longhuitou Scenic Spot, for example360, Inspur InformationSuch as artificial intelligence plate.

Obviously, everyone has different judgments and opinions on the ChatGPT market, but they all earned profits in their own ability circle in the ups and downs of the market.

That is to say, everyone chooses a different way to go to Rome, but as long as they stick to it and don’t go upside down repeatedly, all roads will eventually lead to Rome.

This truth can also be used to answer Wang Wu’s philosophical questions above.

Trading is analogous to driving. When we are driving on the road, if we are in a hurry to do something, we may run a red light, such as going to the hospital, rushing to work, rushing to the airport and so on.

If you suddenly enter a strange place, you may not turn, such as entering the forest, desert, foggy weather, etc.

If you are not in the state when driving, you may not avoid coming cars, such as fatigue driving, drunk driving, sending text messages, etc.

In fact, these "what if scenarios" are things outside our ability circle, and most of the time we don’t have accidents when driving, because we are doing things within our ability circle.

Further divergently speaking, some people’s ability circle is riding a bicycle, some people are driving a car, and some people are flying a plane. They should guard their own ability circle so that traffic accidents will not occur.

Therefore, the viewpoint of ups and downs in China stock market is of course important, but what is more important than the viewpoint is not to be greedy or envious, to foster strengths and avoid weaknesses, to stick to one’s own ability circle, and to earn profits that one can earn.

China’s stock market is a barometer of the economy, and its ups and downs also imply the two worlds of economic inflation and deflation.

On April 21st, the China stock market made a big correction, among which the leading sectors were mainly Chatgpt industrial chain, including big data models and semiconductor chips, which led the gains in the previous period and attracted more funds.

On the other side,The national defense military industry has shown obvious resistance to falling, even rising against the trend.At the same time, the performance of China’s characteristic valuation sector (China Special Valuation) is better than the market average.

In other words, on Black Friday, on the one hand, the value track resisted or even rose against the trend, and on the other hand, the growth track led the decline or even fell to a large limit.

It is worth noting that not only the China stock market has experienced the ups and downs, but also the structural market.

Real estate market,There is a long-lost Xiaoyangchun market in the core areas of first-and second-tier cities, while the third-and fourth-tier cities are still sluggish.

Commodity market,The market of black plate of screw thread and iron ore continued to fall, while the market of energy and chemical industry and live pigs obviously resisted falling or even rose.

In addition, the prices of automobiles, household appliances, photovoltaics and other fields are falling, reflecting the deflationary pressure of the economy; However, the prices of services such as catering, haircuts and oil fees are rising, reflecting the inflationary pressure of the economy.

The deflationary pressure of large-scale enterprises and the inflationary pressure of small and micro enterprises are also reflected in the first quarter of 2023.GDP growth rateGo.

China’s GDP growth rate in the first quarter was 4.5%The growth rate of the secondary industry dominated by large-scale enterprises is 3.3%, which is lower than the average growth rate of GDP; The growth rate of the tertiary industry dominated by small and micro enterprises is 5.4%, which is higher than the average growth rate of GDP (see the figure below).

The whole economic market is half flame and half seawater.

All of the above fully shows that the economic probability of China, including the stock market, has entered a differentiated market.So, the stock marketUnder the general trend that the whole economy is divided, the differentiation will gradually become the norm.

That is to say, the risk of China investors chasing up and down will be further amplified, on the contrary, the cost performance of China investors buying at low prices will be further strengthened.

Figure: GDP growth rate of service industry and industry Source: wind

Finally, I personally think that we can have divided views on the trends of stocks, even real estate, gold and bonds.

However, we all have to implement our own views and realize the realization within our own ability circle.

For example, we all know that Wenzhou real estate speculators are very profitable, but is that our ability circle? For example, we all know that the stock market is very profitable, but is that our ability circle?

For another example,

Just because others can watch more and do more doesn’t mean we can watch more and do more. We can watch more and stay put, and then do more when we trigger our own ability circle signal.

Everyone’s ability circle is different, and these signals are naturally different. It can be that the golden fork is long, the Brin channel breaks up and goes long, and after breaking through the 60-year moving average, it will step back and go long, and continuously pull back to the golden section to buy long.

These signals can also be that the first quarter report is in line with expectations, the price falls to the lower end of the enterprise valuation, and the marginal variables in the enterprise performance are long.

Personally, I feel that the adjustment of China’s economy, including the stock market, real estate, gold, bonds, etc., will also have constant structural differentiation, and the track style will rotate.

We should cherish more what we are good at, persist in fostering strengths and avoiding weaknesses, and stick to our own ability circle. Don’t go astray, let alone join in the fun outside your own ability circle.

What do you think?

(Disclaimer: This article is an objective analysis of the public information of Ye Tan Finance and Economics, and does not constitute investment advice. Please do not use it as the basis for investment.)
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How can the public prevent skiing injuries?

  Yang Wenxian of Provincial Institute of Physical Education and Sports

  In the past two years, people have been enthusiastic about skiing, but before that, skiing was still a very minority sport in China. However, nowadays, with the popularity of skiing culture, especially since the successful bid for the Winter Olympics, skiing has entered the public’s field of vision, and there are more and more snow fields in the country. Looking at all kinds of great gods galloping on the snow field on the internet, can’t you help but be eager to try? Let’s go skiing together today. The competition time of the Winter Olympics is coming to an end, and many wonderful competitions have been watched. The skiing events of the 2022 Winter Olympics include: platform skiing, freestyle skiing, alpine skiing, cross-country skiing, nordic combined and snowboarding. In order to let you watch the race better and participate in skiing, the author brings you today’s article.

  First, distinguish skiing events to help you watch the race better.

  There are many skiing events in this Winter Olympics. In order to watch the games better, let’s learn about the events first. The names of each event list can’t be clearly distinguished. Skiing events are divided into snowboarding and snowboarding in terms of the number of skateboards. The following is a detailed introduction:

  1. Double board skiing:

  (1) Ski jumping and freestyle skiing-skill events

  In order to fly farther and score higher, the skiers need to have super skills to fly farther.

  The greater the technical difficulty of freestyle skiing, the higher the score. The freestyle skiing in this Winter Olympics consists of seven events: aerial skills, snow skills, obstacle chasing, U-shaped field skills, slope obstacle skills, big platform, and aerial skills mixed groups.

  Gu Ailing’s advantage event is the skill event. She participated in three events in this Winter Olympics, namely, slope obstacle skill, U-shaped field skill and big platform jump.

  (2) Alpine skiing and cross-country skiing-speed events

  There are many flag gates on the track of alpine skiing, and athletes need to cross them.

  Cross-country skiing is like a ground marathon, which requires great endurance and physical strength.

  (3) nordic combined-Comprehensive Project

  This is a competition for men only, which lasts for 2 days. On the first day, I competed in platform skiing and on the second day, I competed in cross-country skiing.

  2. snowboarding

  Snowboarding is divided into racing category and skill category. Racing categories include: parallel slalom, obstacle chase, obstacle chase round group. Skills include: U-shaped court, obstacle breaking skills and big platform jumping.

  Second, how can the public prevent skiing injuries?

  With the east wind of Beijing Winter Olympics, this winter, the atmosphere of ice and snow is getting stronger and stronger, and more and more people are participating in this sport, and this sport has brought a lot of damage to the public. According to relevant surveys, mass skiers have more knee joint injuries, such as tearing and injury/strain of ligaments around the knee joint; In addition, there are many injuries to the head and neck, upper limbs and thumb. If you want to effectively avoid injury, you are advised to do the following:

  Step 1 wear protective gear

  Wear helmet and joint protection when skiing.

  2. Make full preparations.

  Full warm-up can make the body get high-efficiency physiological requirements and reduce the occurrence of injuries. Here are some professional skiing warm-up exercises to help you get into the state as soon as possible:

  (1) Warm-up of lower limbs

  Action 1: Lie on your back and lift your legs

  Lie on your back on the mat, first do hip extension under the condition of leg flexion and straight leg, then do adduction and abduction under the condition of leg flexion, and then do hip rotation exercises under the condition of leg flexion. Finally, under the conditions of supine and prone, the touch exercise of the opposite hand and foot was carried out. The schematic diagram is as follows:

  Action 2: Hip flexor stretching

  Stretching hip muscles can reduce hip muscle tension and increase hip flexibility. Kneel with legs apart, keep the trunk straight, slowly move the center of gravity forward, and tilt the upper body to the side of the front support leg. The schematic diagram is as follows:

  Action 3: lateral box jumping

  Practicing this movement can improve the control ability of hips and knees. Jump sideways from the box and keep your hips, knees and ankles aligned when landing. Increase the difficulty of action by swinging your arm or jumping a longer distance. The schematic diagram is as follows:

  (2) Warm up the core parts of the body

  Action 1: Static force of split leg side brace

  Practicing this movement can improve core strength and prevent injury. Elbow support, lift your body, keep it straight, raise your upper legs to the limit, lower your body to the starting position, and then do the next exercise. For 30 seconds in each group, practice 3 groups. The schematic diagram is as follows:

  Action 2: Start at both ends.

  Lie prone on the mat, lift and extend your arms and legs, tighten your shoulder blades, then put them down and repeat the exercise. The schematic diagram is as follows:

  (3) Turn to warm up

  Action 1: Kneeling and turning

  Turning exercises can help improve the flexibility of the trunk. Kneel on your knees, turn to your sides, and touch your feet on the other side with your hands. The schematic diagram is as follows:

  Action 2: Thoracic Spine Rotation

  Hands on the ground, kneeling on the mat. Keep the pelvis still, and one arm drives the upper back to rotate. When practicing, keep your eyes on your arms and swing them. For 20 seconds in each group, practice 3 groups. The schematic diagram is as follows:

  Step 3 learn to fall

  All kinds of accidents are most likely to occur in ice and snow sports. Learn how to fall safely to better protect yourself.

  Double board: When the speed can’t be controlled during sliding, if you want to avoid falling, you can first try to lean forward and make a plow brake (make the tail of the double board open in a "V" shape during sliding); If you can’t brake or if you can’t slow down, you should take the initiative to fall down: throw away the poles, hold your body with your hands, squat down and fall to one side of your body, land with your ass, and remember to forbid hand support! (Hand support can easily lead to wrist fracture)

  Veneer: when sliding on the front edge, it is easy to fall forward. At this time, you should kneel down with your legs, lower your center of gravity, and stretch your hands forward as far as possible. The whole person is kneeling on the ground and lifting the snowboard. When the rear blade slides and falls, you should cross your arms on your chest, squat down with your legs to form a ball, roll back with your back on the ground, and lift the snowboard at the same time. Also remember to ban hand support!

  4. Other precautions

  (1) Avoid skiing due to fatigue or discomfort. Skiing consumes a lot of physical energy, and it is easy to cause injuries under fatigue.

  (2) Skiing should be studied step by step, and there should be no psychology of being competitive and eager for success.

  (3) Choose a suitable ski trail, and don’t blindly climb the advanced ski trail as soon as you learn to ski.

  Third, how to choose ski equipment?

  Step 1 snowboard

  For beginners, it is most convenient to rent ski equipment directly in the ski resort. You should also know the following points when choosing ski gear:

  (1) The longer the length of the snowboard, the greater the speed, the more difficult it is to ski, and the more difficult it is to control.

  (2) For beginners, the length of skateboard should be 20-30cm less than the height. For amateurs, snowboarding is generally lower than the height, easier to operate, more flexible in steering and easier to use.

  (3) You can choose a relatively soft and elastic skateboard. The skateboard with great elasticity will not be too fast, and it is easier to control, so it is safer.

  2. Ski suit

  You should choose a ski suit with the right size, so you can move freely. First of all, choose warm, waterproof and windproof fabrics. Secondly, it is ok to wear a ski suit and a jumpsuit, but when choosing, the pants must be high-waist; Clothes and trousers with adjustable cuffs and cuffs can effectively prevent snow from entering. Finally, it is best to choose eye-catching tones that have a color difference with white to avoid collision accidents.

  It is suggested to adopt the "sandwich" dressing method: quick-drying clothes/sweat-wicking underwear+warm middle layer+windproof and waterproof/professional ski coat to achieve the effect of sweating inside, keeping warm in the middle and waterproof outside.

  Choosing professional ski shoes can effectively keep warm and prevent injuries. When choosing ski shoes, it is best to try them on the spot. The most comfortable state is to let the feet have room to move inside the boots, but the sides of the ankles should not be loose. The back of the shoes should be strong and have certain endurance; Ensure that the calf can bend forward flexibly.

  In addition, ski masks, warm hats, ski gloves, ski socks, etc. should be prepared.

  3. Accessories and protective gear

  Ski pole, the ideal length is that when a person stands upright, the arm holding ski pole can touch the ground vertically at a 90-degree angle. Ski helmets should not be too tight or too loose after wearing. It is best to rent or buy them after trying them on the spot. Ski goggles, it is recommended to choose a fully enclosed ski goggles with thicker frame and anti-fogging.

  In addition, beginners are advised to wear joint protection and anti-fall pads.

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@ History

China’s ancient history, the historical dynasty, the Yuan Dynasty.

Hello, everyone, today we are going to talk about the emergence, development and elimination of the Yuan Dynasty. Yuan Dynasty is an important dynasty in the history of China, which arose from the division of Mongolian Empire and a series of subsequent wars and political changes. The Yuan Dynasty covered most of China and became one of the most powerful dynasties in the history of China. The emergence and development of the Yuan Dynasty was closely related to the rise and expansion of the Mongolian Empire.

Mongolian Empire is a nomadic empire with horse riding and archery as its main military skills, and its rise began with Genghis Khan’s unified war. With the passage of time, the Mongolian Empire has gradually become one of the most powerful empires in the world, and its territory includes many parts of Eurasia. The establishment of the Yuan Dynasty marked the end of the rule of the Mongolian Empire and the beginning of the rule of the feudal dynasty in China.

The emperors of the Yuan Dynasty adopted a series of measures to strengthen centralization, stabilize the political situation and develop the economy. They carried out a series of political, cultural and social reforms, including the unification of currency, writing and weights and measures. These reforms have had a far-reaching impact on the history of China.

However, the rule of the Yuan Dynasty was not smooth sailing. With the passage of time, the scope of the rule of the Yuan Dynasty gradually narrowed and the internal contradictions gradually intensified. In particular, the late Yuan Dynasty was finally destroyed by the Ming Dynasty due to political corruption, corruption, bribery and serious military failure. The demise of the Yuan Dynasty marked the end of China’s feudal dynasty and the birth of a modern country. The demise of the Yuan Dynasty also marked the end of China’s traditional culture and social system, which brought new opportunities and challenges to the development of China’s history.

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Japanese beauty cosmetics China is cold: affected by the discharge of nuclear sewage into the sea, high-end market giants compete for key points

Japanese beauty brands are facing a new crisis in China market.

In the past Double Eleven, Japanese beauty brands collectively "disappeared" in the TOP10 sales list. According to the research report of Guojin Securities, the top ten brands sold by Amoy beauty shops during this year’s Double Eleven period were Polaiya, L ‘Oreal, Lancome, Estee Lauder, Winona, Mystery of Sea Blue, Olay, Xiuliko, helena rubinstein and Guerlain, and none of them were Japanese makeup brands. According to media observation, this is the first time that the Japanese makeup brand SK-Il has fallen out of the top ten since 2016, and it is also the first time that Shiseido, a Japanese makeup brand, has been out of the list since it entered the top ten in 2017. Both of them have occupied the list for many years.

Bai Wen Xi, chief economist of IPG China, told 21st century business herald that the impact of Japanese nuclear sewage discharge on Japanese cosmetics was an important factor, which led to the continuous fermentation of consumers’ resistance to Japanese cosmetics. In addition, domestic beauty brands performed strongly during the Double Eleven period. For example, brands such as Polaiya occupied the leading position in the beauty category for the first time, which may be another factor affecting the sales of Japanese makeup brands.

At present, the days of Japanese beauty brands are not easy. Take Shiseido, a well-known Japanese cosmetics brand, as an example. Last week, Shiseido lowered its annual profit forecast, and then its share price fell sharply. On November 13th, the share price of Shiseido in Japan once fell by 14%, the biggest drop in 36 years. As of 9: 00 am on November 20th, Shiseido’s share price rebounded to 4,329 yen, and its share price has fallen by 40.07% since the beginning of the year. Shiseido said that the demand from consumers in China slowed down due to the Japanese nuclear sewage discharged into the sea, and the sales in China decreased by about 10% in the third quarter. The company believes that the impact of nuclear sewage discharge will last until the first quarter of 2024. As of the first half of this year, the China market was Shiseido’s largest market.

Shiseido’s situation is just a microcosm of the cold reception of Japanese beauty brands. Judging from the performance of the third quarterly report this year, the performance of Japanese cosmetics on behalf of enterprises is lacking. In contrast, domestic cosmetics brands gradually occupy the mainstream in China market.

Why do Japanese cosmetics brands gradually regress in China market? At present, Kose Group and other Japanese cosmetics brands are still overweight the China market. What are the future development prospects?

Japanese beauty cosmetics encounter waterloo in China

For many Japanese beauty brands, this year’s Double Eleven may be a stress test. But obviously, the result is not satisfactory.

Judging from the achievements of the Double Eleven, Japanese beauty cosmetics not only failed to rank among the top ten beauty shops in Amoy Department, but also lost the list of the top ten brands of GMV in the category of double eleven beauty and skin care in Tik Tok this year. Poor performance in China market has directly affected the performance of many Japanese beauty companies.

Japan’s Shiseido Group released its financial report for the first three quarters of 2023. The financial report shows that its net sales decreased by 5.3% year-on-year to 722.4 billion yen (about RMB 34.752 billion), and its core operating profit decreased by 53% to 8.8 billion yen. Among them, Shiseido’s sales in China decreased by 9% this quarter, which directly offset the growth in the first half of the year. In the same period, China market also retreated to Shiseido’s second largest market. The same situation also appeared in Kao, Polaroid, Kose and other Japanese cosmetics companies.

Kao Group, the parent company of Kerun and Fulifang Silk, released its third-quarter financial report. The company’s net sales decreased by 0.2% year-on-year to 1.13 trillion yen, and its net profit decreased by 44.2% year-on-year. In the third quarter, which was most affected by the nuclear sewage incident, sales fell by 1.6% to 387.4 billion yen. Kao said in the financial report that the group’s cosmetics business lost 1.6 billion yen mainly due to the sharp decline in sales in China. Coincidentally, POLA Polaroid Group also named in its third-quarter financial report that it had to slow down its store expansion plan in China due to the impact of Japanese nuclear sewage discharge into the sea.

Since August this year, due to the nuclear sewage discharge incident, the sales of Japanese cosmetics in China and South Korea have been greatly hindered, which can be described as the "black swan" incident of Japanese cosmetics.

Chen Li, a researcher at Anbang think tank, told 21st century business herald that Japanese cosmetics suffered a brand crisis after the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant announced that it would discharge sewage. Consumers in China thought that Japanese chemical products would be affected by nuclear sewage, labeled them as "unsafe" and turned to other substitutes. Whether the quality of Japanese cosmetics will be affected by this incident or not, the action of discharging nuclear sewage has caused negative feelings of China consumers about "Made in Japan", which is a big blow to the Japanese beauty industry.

In addition, Chen Li also believes that Japanese beauty products are cold in China, largely because consumers are increasingly inclined to choose domestic brands.

Since the news that Japan’s nuclear sewage was discharged into the sea came out, online discussions about the safety of Japanese cosmetics have come and gone, which directly affected the export of Japanese cosmetics. According to the data of the General Administration of Customs, since May this year, China’s cosmetics imported from Japan began to show a significant decline. Among them, the import value in June decreased by 8.4% year-on-year; In July, the import value dropped by 30% year-on-year.

Chen Li said that from the product point of view, although Japanese cosmetics brands have always paid attention to R&D, in recent years, domestic brands have also made major breakthroughs in product R&D, which is more cost-effective, more in line with the habits of consumers in China, and has reduced the attractiveness of Japanese cosmetics to the China market to some extent. From the brand point of view, the international influence of Japanese cosmetics is not as good as that of European and American brands. Domestic brands are also expanding their influence with the trend of "cultural self-confidence" and "national rejuvenation", so the brand power of Japanese cosmetics is squeezed.

According to the report of the Capital Securities Industry, China Customs data show that China’s cosmetics imports mainly come from Japan, South Korea, France, Britain, the United States and other places. From 2015 to 2022, China’s total cosmetics imports from Japan increased from US$ 488 million to US$ 4.987 billion, an increase of over 10 times. However, since the beginning of this year, the total amount of imported cosmetics in China has shown a downward trend. The total amount of imported cosmetics from Japan has continued to decline since March, and the total amount of imported cosmetics from Japan in the first quarter fell by 11.73% year-on-year.

Domestic head brands accelerate to occupy the market.

At present, the domestic cosmetics market has ushered in a new round of reshuffle. The most striking difference is that the phenomenon that foreign cosmetic brands dominate the China market is gone forever.

According to Huajing Industrial Research Institute, the market share of China cosmetics market in 2021 will be 28.8%, 16.2%, 30.1%, 8.3% and 4.3% for China, French, Korean and Japanese brands respectively. At a time when many Japanese cosmetics brands are in decline, the rise of domestic brands has become a bright color. According to the data of beauty industry media, in this year’s Double Eleven list, domestic brand Polaiya won the first place in the list of Tmall and Tik Tok double 11 skin care brands. Among them, in the list of Tmall double 11 skin care brands, Polaiya beat L ‘Oreal with a GMV of 2.219 billion yuan.

Chen Li said, "China’s economy continues to recover, consumers are more rational, pay more attention to the cost performance of products, and pursue products with favorable prices while ensuring quality." In addition, Chen Li believes that consumers show enthusiastic concern about the ingredients of products and whether the ingredients of products are safe or not, while domestic cosmeceutical brands start with "biological ingredients and" herbal raw materials "and achieve a sudden emergence, further squeezing the Japanese cosmeceutical market.

Bai Wenxi also holds a similar view. He told reporters that the reasons for the rise of domestic brands may include the improvement of product quality and the effective marketing strategy.

Some analysts believe that in recent years, domestic skin care brands have paid more attention to the concepts of mild conditioning, natural no addition and no stimulation. Take Polaiya, a domestic brand, as an example. In order to meet the demand of whitening, it relies on the concept of "early C and late A" to force L ‘Oré al, Lancome, Estee Lauder and other big brands in sales. In this regard, Bai Wenxi believes that for beauty products, the focus of consumers’ attention now may include the quality, effect and safety of products, as well as the influence and reputation of brands. In this respect, the performance of Japanese beauty cosmetics lags behind other brands, because the popularity and recognition of its products in China market are relatively low, and its marketing strategy and product positioning may not meet the needs and preferences of China consumers. Chen Li also believes that Japan may not be as agile as domestic brands in capturing and responding to China’s hot trends.

In order to seize the China market, Japanese beauty cosmetics bet on high-end beauty consumption. Take Shiseido as an example. In 2021, Shiseido sold popular brands such as Secret Language of Water and Sibeiqi, and put more resources on high-end brands such as Shiseido, CPB and THE GINZA. At the same time, Shiseido focuses on the China market and increases investment in market production and R&D.. Recently, Shiseido also launched a small program of "Watching the United States and Japan", and cooperated with jnto, Hoshino Group, Japan Airlines and other institutions and companies to introduce Japanese tourism and cultural consultation and promote Japanese tourists’ consumption in.

Chen Li said that Shiseido should concentrate on its core business by reorganizing its business resources and reducing its mass brands. In the case of economic recovery, enterprises will give priority to reducing costs and increasing efficiency. This move is in line with the global beauty market as a whole to the "high-end" direction, and is also in line with the strategic layout direction of Japanese cosmetics brands such as Shiseido in China.

However, some analysts believe that the cold consumption of high-end beauty cosmetics in the past two years has become another factor affecting the performance of Japanese makeup brands. According to the data of Tencent Marketing Insight (TMI) and Boston Consulting Group (BCG), the domestic high-end beauty market has maintained a high growth rate of 20% in the past few years, and the growth rate reached 41.8% in 2021, but there was a slight correction of 2% in 2022.

Nevertheless, the interviewed experts still believe that the fast-growing high-end product track is the key strategy for Japanese beauty brands to increase their market share in China. However, in this field, Japanese makeup brands also encounter great challenges. In March this year, the Japanese cosmetics group POLA announced that it would shut down high-end brands Amplitude and ITRIM, and Shuizhiao H2O Company will also complete liquidation this year. This year, POLA Group will cut off three brands.

According to Euromonitor’s data, since 2017, the sales of high-end beauty cosmetics in the China market have maintained an average annual growth rate of more than 23%, and it is expected that it will completely surpass popular beauty cosmetics by 2025. This means that the competition for high-end market will become the "general battlefield" of the next head beauty enterprises, and it is also the key for enterprises to win the market initiative and voice in the next 10 years.

How can Japanese cosmetics, which have been overtaken step by step, regain the China market? Chen Li believes that "if Japanese beauty companies want to continue to pay attention to the China market, they should pay attention to the competition in the high-end product track, keep up with the demand of the consumer market in China, and create’ efficacy first’ big items according to the skin quality, aesthetics and psychological portraits of China consumers, and constantly expand the matrix of big items."

(21st century business herald)